Brad Cox, trainer of Victory Formation

Coach Brad Cox talks to he media about his Kentucky Derby hopeful, Cyberknife. April 27, 2022


  • The $400,000 Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes is Saturday at Honest Grounds Race Course
  • That is the primary 2023 Kentucky Derby prep race that awards 50 qualifying factors to the winner
  • Is Victory Formation the favourite for good cause? What a couple of longshot choice? See all the Risen Star Stakes odds right here

Final yr Wealthy Strike earned 21 Kentucky Derby qualifying factors, and by the hair of his chinny-chin-chin made it into the beginning gate on the primary Saturday in Might at Churchill Downs. As an unlimited longshot, he gained North America’s greatest race. Saturday’s Risen Star Stakes in New Orleans is the primary Derby prep race of 2023 that awards 50 factors to the winner, and all however ensures they’ll run within the Derby if they’re wholesome and select to. Let’s have a look at the contenders within the Risen Star Stakes odds right here.

Unbeaten Victory Formation is the favourite within the 14-horse area. Final yr Epicenter gained because the second alternative, after which completed second on the Kentucky Derby. Two years in the past Mandaloun gained the Risen Star Stakes, and although he was second throughout the road in Louisville, he gained the Derby by way of disqualification.

Let’s look rigorously at Victory Formation, his competitors, and contemplate our wagering choices for our Risen Star Stakes prediction.

2023 Risen Star Stakes Odds

Horse Odds
Victory Formation +300
Tapit’s Conquest +600
Determinedly +800
Harlocap +800
Angel of Empire +800
Curly Jack +800
Two Phil’s +800
Silver Heist +1200
Non-public Creed +1200
Solar Thunder +1500
Crupi +1500
Single Ruler +3000
Shaq Diesel +3000
Quiet as Midnight +5000

Odds as of February 15

Within the Risen Star Stakes odds above you possibly can see Victory Formation is favored at +300 odds, adopted by Tapit’s Conquest at +600.

The Risen Star will likely be run at 7:14 pm EST Saturday. The mile-and-an-eighth foremost monitor occasion dates again to the early Seventies. Temperatures on the Honest Grounds are anticipated to be within the low 50s and there’s nearly no probability of rain. Fan Duel TV will air the race.

Along with the winner receiving 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying factors, the runner-up will earn 20 factors. The third-place horse will get 15 factors, the fourth place 10 factors, and whoever finishes fifth is awarded 5 factors. The winner will possible see their Kentucky Derby odds shorten after this race.

Let’s have a look at the Risen Star Stakes picks to win right here.

Victory Formation Proven Few Weaknesses

Victory Formation has run three completely different distances at three separate tracks and regarded more and more spectacular, successful every race.

The Brad Cox-trained son of Belmont Stakes winner Tapwrit dominated Oaklawn Park’s Smarty Jones Stakes on January 1.

Victory Formation debuted with a straightforward win at Keeneland in October adopted it up with a second dash victory in November, and his most spectacular win was his first two flip strive.

No Clear Second Alternative in Risen Star However Loads of Strong Choices

Two Phil’s and Curly Jack each completed second behind Prompt Espresso final day out. Prompt Espresso is among the handful of prime Derby contenders at this juncture following his rating in final month’s Lecomte Stakes.

Two Phil’s was two-and-a-half lengths behind Prompt Espresso within the Lecomte. That was his 2023 debut, after successful the Avenue Sense Stakes in October. He took a significant step ahead final month.

Curly Jack has not raced since being crushed by Prompt Espresso by simply over a size in November. He was an enormous longshot and completed fifth in a 10-horse area within the Breeders Cup Juvenile earlier than that.

Determinedly has already run eight instances. The primary 4 weren’t memorable, with three of them on turf. The final 4 races are all fairly good, and embody two victories. He gained a aggressive elective claiming occasion on the Honest Grounds on January 21.

Prime coach Brad Cox has Tapit’s Conquest and Angel of Empire. Tapit’s Conquest has just one win in three begins and is making his stakes debut. That stated, he missed by solely a neck in opposition to Determinedly final day out. He must take a step ahead to win on Saturday, however he’s in good constantly good type.

At +1800, Angel of Empire completed second behind Victory Formation within the Smarty Jones. That was by far his greatest profession race. May extra enchancment be in retailer?

Harlocap modified from the highly effective Bob Baffert barn to Steve Asmussen’s. Asmussen is the winningest coach of all time. Harlocap has one win, and two seconds in three begins. That is the primary strive in opposition to winners for the $400,000 son of Triple Crown winner Justify.

2023 UEFA Champions League Odds Tracker

Risen Star Stakes Longshots

Asmussen’s Silver Heist has run solely twice. He was third in opposition to Determinedly and Tapit’s Conquest final day out however was crushed by solely a size. Late growing and flippantly raced horses will be harmful as a result of they’ve the potential for vital enchancment.

Asmussen additionally has Non-public Creed making his grime debut on Saturday. He misplaced by lower than two lengths within the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Dash, and simply missed final month within the Texas Turf Mile.

Crupi remains to be winless. That stated, the $275,000 son of Breeders Cup Traditional winner Curlin regarded good at Aqueduct on January 2 ending a good second in a maiden race. Crupi has among the prime connections in racing, coach Todd Pletcher, homeowners Repole and St. Elias Stables.

Risen Star Stakes Prediction

You may go loads of alternative ways on this group by wanting by means of the Risen Star Stakes odds. Victory Formation has the perfect resume thus far. If he repeats his most up-to-date efficiency, another person might want to run higher than they’ve earlier than to win. Whereas that’s definitely attainable, or Victory Formation might not run his greatest, he’s the most definitely winner.

Risen Star Stakes Picks: Victory Formation (+300)

Dave F.

Sports activities Author