Inter Milan celebrates

Marcelo Brozovic celebrates his objective through the Italian Serie A match Torino v Internazionale on September 10, 2022 in Milan, Italy. (Picture by ImagePhoto/Imago/Icon Sportswire) ****NO AGENTS—NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA SALES ONLY****

  • It’s Porto vs Inter Milan within the Champions League round-of-16 2nd leg on Tuesday, March 14
  • In-form Porto face a one-goal deficit after Lukaku’s objective settled the primary leg in Milan
  • Discover our Porto vs Inter Milan prediction under, the place we take a look at the chances and provide some picks

It’s Porto vs Inter Milan within the UEFA Champions League round-of-16 second leg on Tuesday, March 14. Kick-off within the Estádio do Dragão is at 3:00 pm ET. The hosts begin as very marginal favorites however are they one of the best guess on your Porto vs Inter Milan prediction?

Inter carry the slenderest of leads into this second leg after profitable 1-0 within the San Siro, however their latest kind is patchy whereas their Portuguese hosts are on an excellent run and confidence is excessive.

We preview our Porto vs Inter Milan picks, take a look at the chances, and provide some evaluation, crew information, and predictions under.

Porto vs Inter Milan Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Advance
Porto +165 +270
Inter Milan +170 +360
Draw +240 N/A

The bookmakers have Porto listed as plus-money favorites for the win however by the smallest potential margin. At +165 for the house win the Portuguese champions have an implied chance of 37.7%, whereas Inter are listed at +170 to win the primary leg with a win chance of 37.0%. The draw is priced at +240 within the Porto vs Inter Milan odds, which is implied at 29.4%.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 13.

Porto vs Inter Milan Over/Below and Unfold

With the benchmark at 2.5, the bookies have pitched the underneath at -105 and the over at -120.

Porto vs Inter Milan Preview

Regardless of it being a irritating night time in Milan for Porto, Sergio Conceicao’s males left feeling fairly glad figuring out they have been returning residence to Portugal nonetheless very a lot within the tie.

After shedding Otavio with 12 minutes remaining – he was proven crimson for his second bookable offense – they remained resolute and held the rating at 0-0 till the 86th minute when Inter substitute, Romelu Lukaku scored the one objective of the sport.

Previous to Lukaku’s objective, Porto had greater than held their very own within the sport and Inter have been grateful to keeper Andre Onana for a few very important saves. However they face a deficit, so it’s the Portuguese champions who should take the initiative within the second leg.

Good Kind however No Primeira Liga This Season for Porto

For the Dragoes, it has been an excellent season they usually certified for the knockout part of the UCL by consecutively profitable their final 4 video games of Group B, and previous to the World Cup break gained 10 video games on the spin. However, they are going to be hard-pushed to retain their Primeira Liga title as, after 24 video games, they’re eight factors adrift of Benfica.

Porto’s latest file at this stage of the UCL is fairly good – they progressed to the final eight in 2019 and 2021 – however they did lose to the Nerazzurri at this similar stage of the competitors in 2004-05.

Blended Fortunes for Inzaghi’s males

It’s been a combined season for Simone Inzaghi’s males who, regardless of being second in Serie A, are unlikely to retain their title as Napoli are at the moment 18 factors clear. Within the Champions League, they’ve carried out properly to make it to the round-of-16, beating and knocking out Barcelona within the group stage and coming second in a gaggle that additionally included Bayern Munich.

Whereas the primary leg was a wrestle, they usually might solely have emerged with that 1-0 win as a result of Porto happening to 10 males, it may turn into a priceless lead, particularly when you think about they’ve gained 4 of their final seven away video games in Europe.

Omens Not Good for Inter

However Inter comes into this sport not in one of the best of kind after struggling their eighth Serie A defeat of the marketing campaign on the weekend once they have been crushed away from residence by Seventeenth-placed Spezia.

Additionally counting in opposition to them is a poor away file in opposition to Portuguese groups in European competitors, with only one win of their final eight video games. This seems more likely to be a tricky night time for the Nerazzurri.

2023 UEFA Champions League Odds Tracker

Porto vs Inter Milan Crew Lineups and Accidents

Porto Projected Lineup: Costa, Mario, Pepe, Cardoso, Sanusi, Grujic, Uribe, Franco, Pepe, Galen, Taremi.

Accidents & absences: Otavio .

Inter Projected Lineup: Onana, De Vrij, Acerbi, Bastoni, Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Martinez, Lukaku.

Accidents & absences: Skriniar.

Porto vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head Stats

4-0-3 Champions League file 2022-23 4-1-2
12 / 8 Targets for / in opposition to 11 / 7
13.3 Pictures per sport* 12.9
79.4 Passing accuracy (%)* 84.4
45.6 Possession (%)* 50.3
WWLLWW Kind information (all comps) DWWLWL

* Stats from UEFA Official Website.

Porto vs Inter Milan Prediction

As steered by the bookies’ odds, this might go both manner, however Porto are very a lot the shape crew and residential benefit could possibly be decisive contemplating Inter’s poor file in Portugal.

For me, there’s worth within the residence win, and even higher worth in additionally betting on Porto to progress.

Porto vs Inter Milan Decide: Porto to win (+165) / Porto to advance 1-0 (+250)

Gary Gowers

Sports activities Author