EPL picks

twentieth August 2022; The King Energy Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire, England; Premier League Soccer, Leicester Metropolis versus Southampton; Southampton gamers have a good time after the ultimate whistle (Photograph by Graham Wilson/Actionplus/Icon Sportswire) ****NO AGENTS—NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA SALES ONLY****

  • Nottingham Forest hosts Southampton within the thirty fifth Premier League matchday on Monday, Might eighth, at 3:00 pm ET
  • Each side presently sit within the relegation zone, on 30 and 24 factors, respectively
  • Get our Nottingham Forest vs Southampton prediction and odds beneath

On Monday, Nottingham Forest vs Southampton kicks off in what will likely be a very powerful match of this 12 months’s relegation battle. That is the ultimate match between any of the 5 main drop candidates, making the factors ever so invaluable. The hosts presently sit on 30 factors, a tally that attracts them stage with Leicester Metropolis and Leeds. Nevertheless, their dreadful -32 objective differential slots them within the closing relegation spot.

Conversely, Southampton sit useless final on 24 factors, in what appears to be an irrecoverable place. Hold studying for the Nottingham Forest vs Southampton odds and our predictions!

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Odds

Matchup Moneyline Odds
Nottingham Forest +115
Southampton +240
Draw +255

Total, Nottingham Forest are the favorites on this one, with moneyline odds of +115. In different phrases, they’ve an implied win likelihood of 46.5%. Whereas Forest have been a tricky watch this season, their document in opposition to the opposite groups within the backside 5 is kind of first rate at 3-2-2.

Truly, a type of victories was a 1-0 overcome this Southampton group in January. Furthermore, Forest’s 6-6-5 document at house this season within the Premier League factors to this match getting in favor of the Difficult Timber.

Within the Premier League odds, Southampton are the favorites to be relegated at -5000; Nottingham Forest have relegation odds of -120.

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Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Over/Below

Moreover, this match is predicted to remain beneath 2.5 whole objectives with odds of -125. The reverse choice at this similar objective whole presents even cash at +100. I might lean in the direction of the beneath right here, regardless of the over hitting in 60% of their final ten mixed Premier League video games. Steve Cooper will come into this match with Forest assured, and with the sensation they will management the tempo at house. Neither group has the scoring energy to win a shootout, so a 1-0 or 2-0 result’s extra seemingly for both group. Additionally, 80% of Southampton’s final ten matches in opposition to groups within the backside half have stayed beneath 2.5 whole objectives.

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Props – Fade Each Groups to Rating

Likewise, one other good play right here is fading each groups to attain with odds of +100. In the end, even when this match performs out in a different way than what we anticipate, it’s seemingly one aspect doesn’t rating. In actuality, this appears like a match the place the primary objective brings the sport to a stand nonetheless tempo.

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Projected Lineups and Accidents

Nottingham Forest Projected Lineup: Navas, Lodi, Niakhate, Felipe, Worrall, Aurier, Mangala, Freuler, Gibbs-White, Lingard, Awoniyi

Main Accidents & Absences: Williams, Henderson, Biancone, Wooden, Richards, Boly, McKenna, Danilo, Colback, Scarpa, Johnson (questionable)

Southampton Projected Lineup: McCarthy, Walker-Peters, Bella-Kotchap, Bednarek, Lyanco, Armstrong, Lavia, Ward-Prowse, Adams, Alcaraz, Sulemana

Main Accidents & Absences: Salisu, Perraud, Larios, Livramento (questionable)

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Brennan Johnson’s Presence or Lack Thereof

All in all, I might be extra assured in Nottingham Forest if the standing of Brennan Johnson was clear. The 21 year-old is battling a small harm which may hold him sidelined versus Southampton.

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Head-to-Head Statistics

0.88 Targets per sport 0.82
1.04 Anticipated objectives per sport 0.94
1.82 Targets allowed per sport 1.76
1.70 Anticipated objectives allowed per sport 1.51
38.3% Possession % 44.4%
20.6% Clear Sheet % 16.7%
9.9 Pictures per sport 11.0
L-W-L-L-L Latest Kind Information (All Comps) L-L-D-L-L

Stats within the desk from 2022/23 Premier League play.

The native lad’s presence or lack thereof will definitely make a distinction on Monday. For reference, he has scored ten objectives  this season, 5 greater than any of his counterparts, together with out-and-out striker Taiwo Awoniyi. With out him within the eleven, it inevitably places a whole lot of strain on the like of Awoniyi and Morgan Gibbs-White, who each have had up-and-down seasons.

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Prediction

In flip, I’m essentially the most assured in Nottingham Forest vs Southampton staying beneath 2.5 objectives, and the BTTS play not hitting. If Johnson is dominated match, I might encourage all readers to consider a play on the Forest moneyline. Nevertheless, at this level, it’s too dangerous and a draw no guess play doesn’t supply sufficient worth at -175.

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Picks: Below 2.5 whole objectives (-125), No on BTTS (+100) 

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Josh Ricker

Sports activities Author