NBA PrizePicks finest bets, predictions, picks Monday, Mar. 13
It’s been a little bit feast or famine the final two Mondays, as we’ve gone 4-for-4 and 0-for-4 within the choices.
Given the character of the payouts (utilizing Flex Play or Energy Play), it’s truly higher to be a little bit extra increase or bust on a nightly foundation.
If you’re choosing 50% of your entries accurately on a nightly foundation, you gained’t be cashing together with your choose ‘em card.
There are seven video games on the schedule tonight, so we’ll look to get again on monitor.
NBA PrizePicks finest bets and predictions
Desmond Bane greater than 5.0 assists
Ja Morant remains to be away from the staff, which suggests extra play-making duties have fallen to Bane.
Over the past 4 video games (all with out Morant), Bane has dished out eight, six, 5, and 6 assists.
On the season, he has averaged 6.17 assists per 36 minutes with Morant off the ground, so we’re getting some worth with the 5.0 assists projection.
He ought to play minutes within the mid-30s tonight towards the Mavericks, who’ve picked up their tempo of play since buying Kyrie Irving and who’re ranked twenty third in defensive score this season.
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Killian Hayes greater than 13.5 factors
The Pistons have the right mixture of being short-handed (no Bojan Bogdanovic, Cade Cunningham, Alec Burks, Jaden Ivey, or Marvin Bagley) and drawing an elite matchup towards the Pacers, who’re ranked eighth in tempo and twenty sixth in defensive score.
Hayes has solely averaged 9.5 factors per sport this season, however that’s the flawed quantity to have a look at.
On a per-minute foundation, he has averaged 0.36 factors.
In 205 minutes with these 5 gamers listed above off the ground this season, Hayes has had a 24% utilization fee.
He ought to see an uptick in minutes and utilization tonight in a good matchup towards the Pacers.
Deandre Ayton lower than 11.5 rebounds
Ayton has been crashing the boards exhausting lately, however asking him to seize greater than 11.5 is a tall process.
In truth, he’s recorded 11 or fewer rebounds in eight of his final 11 video games.
He’s solely averaging 10.2 rebounds per sport this season, so there’s some worth within the lower than facet of this projection.
The matchup additionally units up poorly for Ayton, because the Warriors are a jump-shooting staff.
The Warriors try 43.4 3-pointers per sport, which is the best mark within the NBA.
This tends to result in longer rebounds relatively than ones that come off proper close to the rim.
Betting on the NBA?
Bam Adebayo lower than 39.5 fantasy rating
Many will level to the acquisition of Kevin Love as the explanation for Adebayo’s stoop, however he’s truly been extra productive on a per-minute foundation taking part in alongside Love.
In the event you pull up the sport log for Adebayo, he’s scored lower than 39.5 fantasy factors in 9 of his final 10 video games.
A matchup towards the Jazz is definitely an attractive one, however the sport does have a big unfold (7.5 factors).
If the sport turns right into a rout, that’s clearly good for this choice.
The icing on the cake is that we now have him projected for 38.1 fantasy factors over at RotoGrinders.
Have an excellent Monday everybody!
You may observe Derek Farnsworth on Twitter @RG_Notorious