MLS Week 11 Picks, Odds & Predictions

Apr 26, 2023; Miami, FL, USA; Inter Miami CF defender Ryan Sailor (15) celebrates after scoring in further time in opposition to Miami FC at FIU Stadium. Obligatory Credit score: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports activities

• It’s one other large weekend of MLS motion with 13 video games on Saturday, adopted by a single Sunday match
• Can LAFC keep undefeated? Will Sporting Kansas Metropolis lastly get their first win?
• Get our prime MLS predictions and MLS Week 11 picks right here

Coming into MLS Week 11 and it’s New England and Cincinnati tied atop the Supporters’ Defend with 21 factors. Over within the West, Seattle leads the pack with 20 factors, whereas manner down on the backside, SKC is winless with three factors. We’ve gone up and down the cardboard this weekend and provide you with our prime three MLS Week 11 picks.

This week’s standalone match sees Seattle internet hosting Sporting Kansas Metropolis at 4:30 pm EST Sunday afternoon. One other loss would tie the 2007 RSL staff for essentially the most consecutive lossses to begin a season.

Learn on for the MLS Week 11 odds, plus our prime MLS picks for this weekend’s video games.

MLS Odds Week 11

Seattle are this week’s greatest favorites within the MLS Week 11 odds at residence to SKC. LAFC are the one street favorites away to San Jose. Oddsmakers are predicting the 2 almost definitely attracts to be the New York Crimson Bulls vs Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC vs NYCFC, with each of these attracts lined at +235. MLS odds from Could 5 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure you declare this week’s Caesars Sportsbook promo code to unlock an ideal bonus to guess on MLS Week 11 right here.

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United Prediction

I went in opposition to Miami final week, backing Columbus to win at residence, and received smacked proper within the face with an unexecpted 2-1 street win by the Herons. That snapped a six-game dropping streak within the league the place that they had scored simply twice and been shut out 5 instances throughout that stretch.

However in case you embrace the US Open Cup, Miami has now scored a number of objectives in back-to-back video games. What I’m extra fascinated by although is their goalscoring at residence at DRV PNK Stadium. Miami has received two and misplaced two at residence up to now, however have scored two objectives in three of these 4 video games.

Trying additional again, exterior of their final residence recreation in opposition to Dallas, a 1-0 loss, that they had scored a objective in 18 consequtive video games prior at residence. In 15 of these 18 video games that they had scored a number of objectives.

Atlanta got here out of the gate scorching sizzling, however have cooled off a little bit of late with only one win in 4. However they’re nonetheless one of many highest “Over” groups this season at 7-3 to Over 2.5 totals.

They’ve scored in each single recreation to this point, however have solely saved two clear sheets. That makes bets on each groups to attain 8-2 in 5 Stripes’ video games this season.

I don’t see Miami shutting down Atlanta’s second-ranked offense (19 objectives). However Atlanta is simply 1-2-2 away from residence and have conceded 12 objectives in these 5 video games. They’ve additionally solely received twice of their previous 20 street video games going again into final season.

• MLS Predictions: Each groups to attain (-160), threat 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook

It’s nearly the weekend. 🙌 pic.twitter.com/juX7wMfguu

— Main League Soccer (@MLS) Could 4, 2023

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas Metropolis Prediction

The shine has come off Seattle just a bit previously few weeks. They blew a second half lead in Portland and misplaced 4-1. They eeked out a 1-0 win over Minnesota after which drew 0-0 in Salt Lake final week. They’re additionally down Raul Ruidiaz for the foreable future with damage.

However a house date in opposition to Sporting KC may permit Seattle to get their swagger again. SKC are nonetheless winless on the season at 0-3-7. What’s even worse is they will’t rating to avoid wasting their lives with solely three objectives scored up to now. They misplaced 2-0 final week to a different terrible staff in CF Montreal. It was the seventh time this season they’ve been held off the scoresheet.

Going again into final season SKC is now winless in 11 video games total and in addition winless in 12 straight on the street. They’ve simply two wins of their previous 25 street video games as nicely.

It is a fast rematch of an earlier assembly between the groups this season again in March when the Sounders received 4-1 in Kansas Metropolis. William Agada received Sporting on the board early in that one scoring 5 minutes in, however what adopted was a four-goal efficiency by Jordan Morris, to go along with three assists from Leo Chu.

Seattle is prime of the West and third total in all of MLS. Their seven objectives conceded is simply bested by the six of each LAFC and Nashville. That doesn’t boad nicely for a porous SKC assault. The Sounders are 8-3-1 of their previous 11 at Lumen subject and may bump that to 11 wins by the top of the weekend.

MLS Week 11 Parlay Picks

Right here’s a two-teamer for this weekend as a part of your MLS Week 11 picks.

San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC

They’re on the street and coming off a midweek CCL win over Philadelphia, however LAFC are nonetheless undefeated this season at 5-3-0 and have solely allowed six objectives.

The Earthquakes are improved this season and are presently fifth within the West at 4-3-3. They’re scoring objectives, but in addition conceding objectives as they’ve scored and conceded 13 every. At residence San Jose continues to be undefeated at 4-1-0 and have really solely conceded twice. So taking part in on the street has been their weak spot.

The house staff has received every of the previous six video games on this matchup and LAFC haven’t received in San Jose since 2019. Provided that historical past and the brief week for LAFC I received’t again them to win. However till they lose I’m using them at the least on the double probability (win or draw).

Denis Bouanga leads the MVP Energy Rankings however we received a goalkeeper at No. 3: Djordje Petrovic. 👀

Extra right here: https://t.co/IECuG643Ps pic.twitter.com/5RvvnEpIzp

— Main League Soccer (@MLS) Could 5, 2023

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United

When you have a look at objective totals of two.5, every of those groups are 6-3 to Underneath 2.5 totals this season.

With 0-0, 0-0 and 1-0 (L) scorelines of their previous three, that guess has been sizzling in Whitecaps’ video games.

For the Loons, they’ve cashed back-to-back Underneath 2.5 tickets with a 0-0 draw and 1-0 loss.

A guess on Underneath 2.5 could also be sufficient on this parlay and even as a single play at -105. However for this parlay we’ll play it even safer and embrace Underneath 3.5 at -280.

Vancouver is 8-1 to Underneath 3.5 totals, whereas Minnesota is an ideal 9-0.

Minnesota has scored solely eight objectives this season, however have additionally solely allowed eight.

From an xGA perspective these are two of these prime groups in MLS. Vancouver’s xGA of 9.7 ranks third, whereas Minnesota’s 9.9 is fourth.

shot statistics, Minnesota’s 28 photographs on track are twenty sixth total and each groups are among the many league’s finest at permitting photographs on track. Minnesota ranks first with simply 25 photographs allowed on track and Vancouver fifth permitting simply 30.

It was 1-1 when these groups met again in March, and we’ll again one other low-scoring affair with these groups on the pitch for our MLS Week 11 picks.

• MLS Parlay Picks: LAFC double probability / Vancouver vs Minnesota beneath 3.5 (-108); threat 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook

Final Week’s File: 0-3, -3.00 models

MLS Season File: 14-18, -6.22 models

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