Holger Rune serving

Mar 28, 2023; Miami, Florida, US; Holger Rune (DEN) serves towards Taylor Fritz (USA) (not pictured) on day 9 of the Miami Open at Onerous Rock Stadium. Obligatory Credit score: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports activities

  • No. 7 seed Holger Rune is the -140 betting favourite towards vs Daniil Medvedev within the Italian Open Last
  • Rune has the lone win between these two head-to-head, successful in Monte Carlo in April
  • Learn beneath as we break down Rune vs Medvedev, with odds evaluation and a betting prediction

Holger Rune has dominated top-5 competitors in his younger profession.

It’s the one factor standing in his method from an Italian Open title, within the type of Third-seeded Daniil Medvedev.

The Seventh-ranked Rune has already made noise this event, knocking off defending champion Novak Djokovic within the quarterfinals.

Medvedev, in the meantime has made fast work of his facet of the draw, dropping only a single set all event.

The Italian Open males’s remaining goes Sunday (Might 21) at 10am ET. You’ll be able to watch the match dwell on the Tennis Channel.

Rune vs Medvedev Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Complete
[7] Holger Rune (DEN) -1.5 (-120) -140 O 22.5 (-120)
[3] Daniil Medvedev (RUS) +1.5 (-115) +115 U 22.5 (-115)

Regardless of rating decrease than his competitors, Rune is the betting favourite for the second-straight match. His -140 odds on the moneyline offers him an implied win likelihood of 58.33%.

Rain has wreaked havoc on the occasion, and there may very well be delays on championship Sunday, with scattered thunderstorms on the forecast.

Odds as of Might 20 at DraftKings.

Rune Rallies to Beat Ruud in Semifinal

It’s been a spirited run to the finals for the 20-year-old Rune.

After dispatching Djokovic in three units, he wanted to go the space to drop 4th-seeded Casper Rune 6-7(7-2), 6-4, 6-2.

Ruud had dominated the head-to-head having received all 4 earlier matches earlier than this breakthrough.

His serve was a key on this one, successful 61% of his first serves, and an excellent sharper 76% on his second.

The Dane has improved to a glowing 7-1 in his profession towards gamers ranked within the prime 5.

The win vaults him into his third remaining on clay this season. He’s cut up two choices, shedding to Andrey Rublev in Monte Carlo, and beating Botic van de Zandschulp in Munich.

If we’re speaking fatigue, Rune has been the busier of the 2 in Rome: he’s performed three straight three-set matches. He additionally went the space towards Aussie Alexei Popyrin in Spherical 4.

Rune vs Medvedev Head-to-Head

20 (April 29, 2003) Age 27 (Feb. 11, 1996)
Denmark Birthplace Russia
6-2 Peak 6-6
4 Profession ATP Singles Titles 19
No. 7 (April 17, 2023) Profession-Greatest Rating No. 1 (Feb. 2, 2022)
No. 7 Present Rating No. 3
$4,274,963 Profession Prize Cash $30,125,406
25-9 2022 Received/Loss Report 38-5
0 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Medvedev Downs Tsitsipas to Attain Last

Whereas there was some drama, it was really the climate that turned the Medvedev-Stefanos Tsitsipas into marathon.

Rain compelled two stoppages late within the first set, and play was suspended for greater than 4 hours on these events. In the long run, the Russian received 7-5, 7-5.

Whereas he solely had two aces, Medvedev received a whopping 86% of his first serves. He additionally broke the Greek on all 4 of his break level alternatives.

It’s been a pleasant turnaround in Rome for Medvedev, who didn’t final a single match in three earlier Italian Open begins. Ranked third on the earth, an ATP title right here would push him previous Djokovic into the second spot.

Medvedev could be ranked second in subsequent week’s French Open.

Clay isn’t his specialty: this might be Medvedev’s second title look on the floor, the primary since 2019.

Prime BetMGM Promo Code Grabs You $1,000 in Bonus Bets for NBA Playoffs, MLB, NHL, or Golf

Rune vs Medvedev Prediction

It will likely be the second profession matchup between these two, and the second time within the final three tournaments.

Rune bounced Medvedev within the quarterfinals of the Monte Carlo Masters in April, successful in straight units 6-3, 6-4.

It was fairly a victory for the Dane, as Medvedev had reached the ultimate of the earlier 5 tournaments he had performed in, successful 4.

After the Monte Carlo loss, he misplaced within the fourth spherical in Madrid, earlier than reaching the ultimate once more in Rome.

These are the 2 blemishes Medvedev has had on his clay court docket circuit this season. For a man that prefers the hardcourt, he’s run a 9-2 mark on clay on the 12 months, and he’ll be gunning for his fifth title of the 12 months.

As for Rune, he has been on the court docket for two+ hours greater than his opponent in Rome, and performed 21 extra video games. Like Medvedev, he’s had simply two clay-court losses on the season, successful 13 occasions.

Search for the youthful Rune to remain strong towards top-5 competitors.

Picks: Rune ML  (-140)

Eric Rosales

Sports activities Author & Editor