Rybakina vs Ostapenko

No. 20 seed Jelena Ostapenko expresses her annoyance at a missed shot, throughout her quarterfinal win over Paula Badosa on the Italian Open. She faces Wimbledon champion Elena Rybakina Friday night time within the semifinals. (Photograph: Stephanie Myles/Opencourt.ca)

  • Jelena Ostapenko’s scorching kind on the Italian Open has introduced her to the semifinals
  • The No. 20 seed will face No. 7 seed Elena Rybakina, the reigning Wimbledon champion
  • Rybakina is a slight favourite within the Rybakina vs Ostapenko odds; we break down the matchup under

The Rybakina vs Ostapenko odds are almost equivalent in any respect ranges to these for the opposite semifinal between Veronika Kudermetova and Anhelina Kalinina, although the latter looks like a more in-depth matchup. However the Ostapenko issue is actual. Learn on for our Rybakina vs Ostapenko prediction for the Italian Open semifinals.

Rybakina vs Ostapenko Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole
[7] Elena Rybakina (KAZ) -2.5 (-125) -172 O 21.5 (-122)
[20] Jelena Ostapenko (LAT) +2.5 (-106) +140 U 21.5 (-110)

At -172 odds, reigning Wimbledon champion Rybakina is a slight favourite within the Rybakina vs Ostapenko semifinal on the Italian Open Friday night time. Former French Open champion Ostapenko is the underdog at +140 odds. Rybakina vs Ostapenko odds as of Could 18 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Rybakina Catches Break vs Swiatek

Elena Rybakina was being completely crushed by world No. 1 Iga Swiatek, early into the morning Thursday on the Italian Open.

Largely, it was her personal doing. She was spraying errors all over the place.

Then, within the second set, Swiatek suffered a thigh harm. And although she went off court docket to have it taped, it didn’t take lengthy earlier than she referred to as it an evening/morning at 2-2 within the third.

Swiatek had gained 25 consecutive units in Rome earlier than dropping that second set.

An imminent Grand Slam match, together with the late night time and chilly, raining situations, are a recipe for this kind of harm retirement. The Italian Open is a giant title. However the French Open is a much bigger title, and Swiatek was taking no probabilities.

So it now turns into a fantastic alternative for the reigning Wimbledon champion to choose off a Masters 1000 title.

Ostapenko On a Roll

Ostapenko’s shiny and typically weird outfits have garnered extra consideration than her tennis within the final 12 months or two.

However she’s a former French Open champion. And when she’s on a roll, she’s extraordinarily harmful.

It had been 4 1/2 years since Ostapenko had made a significant quarterfinal, when she reached the ultimate eight in Australia in January. So there have been moments this 12 months when the tennis has been there.

In Rome this previous week, she has dispatched the damaging Sorana Cirstea, top-10 gamers Barbora Krejcikova and Daria Kasatkina and the unseeded Paula Badosa, who’s a former world No. 2.

All however the Krejcikova match took three units, and she or he performed doubles as properly.

And but, she by no means appears drained.

Rybakina vs Ostapenko Head-to-Head

23 (June 17, 1999) Age 25 (June 8, 1997)
Moscow, Russia Birthplace Riga, Latvia
6-0 Top 5-10
4 Profession WTA Singles Titles 5
No. 6 (Could 8, 2023) Profession-Finest Rating No. 5 (March 19, 2018)
No. 6 Present Rating No. 20
$9,591,558 Profession Prize Cash $12,578,293
26-7 2022 Gained/Loss File 18-10
1 Head-to-Head Wins 2

Ostapenko Leads the Rivalry

Rybakina vs Ostapenko has occurred thrice earlier than. However that is the primary assembly on clay.

The 2 wins for the Latvian got here on a quick indoor onerous court docket, and on grass.

However Rybakina defeated Ostapenko routinely within the quarterfinals on the Australian Open this 12 months.

Ostapenko’s finest stats come, surprisingly, on grass. However clay is second-best. The identical is true for Rybakina though her Wimbledon run components right into a small grass pattern dimension. Both manner, Ostapenko has way more expertise on the clay.

The radar gun in Rome is notoriously player-friendly. However even when gamers like Badosa and Coco Gauff have recurrently clocked their serve within the 190s (km/hour), the power-serving Rybakina didn’t even come near that towards Swiatek.

If she doesn’t find properly, Ostapenko will get a play on it.

Rybakina vs Ostapenko Match Historical past

12 months Event Floor Rating Winner
2023 Australian Open (QF) Out of doors Arduous 6-2, 6-4 Rybakina
2021 Eastbourne (SF) Grass 6-4, 6-1 Ostapenko
2019 Linz (QF) Indoor Arduous 7-5, 6-1 Ostapenko

Rybakina vs Ostapenko Prediction

Ostapenko will need to watch this spotlight video from her win over Rybakina at Eastbourne. Conversely, Rybakina will in all probability need to keep away from it.

Rybakina has benefited from two harm retirements in her 4 matches moving into. Ostapenko is in higher kind.

If Ostapenko serves in addition to she did in beating Badosa Wednesday, she has a official shot on the upset within the Rybakina vs Ostapenko odds.

Rybakina vs Ostapenko Prediction: Ostapenko to Win First Set (+126)

Stephanie Myles

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