Daniil Medvedev is in his first Italian Open semifinal

Apr 2, 2023; Miami, Florida, US; Daniil Medvedev celebrates after his match in opposition to Jannik Sinner (ITA) (not pictured) within the males’s singles last on day fourteen of the Miami Open at Onerous Rock Stadium. Obligatory Credit score: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports activities

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is the -146 betting favourite over Daniil Medvedev of their ATP Italian Open semifinal on Saturday, Could 20
  • World #3 Medvedev holds a 7-4 edge over world #5 Tsitsipas in 11 earlier matches
  • They’ve break up two prior assembly on clay surfaces. See the Medvedev vs Tsitsipas odds and our prediction for the match right here

The measure of what Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev discover themselves on the verge of reaching on the ATP Italian Open is a narrative inside itself. Tsitsipas is a win away from a repeat efficiency. He misplaced final 12 months’s last to Novak Djokovic.

Medvedev, in the meantime, is experiencing an unprecedented fortnight on the clay courts of Rome. Earlier than this 12 months, he’d by no means gained a match within the Italian Open. Abruptly, he finds himself going through Tsitsipas within the semifinals, with an opportunity to get to the event last.

Although Medvedev is ranked #3 on the earth and Tsitsipas is at #5, oddsmakers are going with the Greek participant because the -146 betting alternative within the Medvedev vs Tsitsipas odds.

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole
Daniil Medvedev (RUS) +1.5 (-110) +124 O 22.5 (-118)
Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) -1.5 (-122) -146 U 22.5 (-112)

At +124, Medvedev is given an underdog betting line within the ATP Madrid odds though he’s beforehand crushed Tsitsipas in seven of 11 conferences. The unfold is -1.5 in favor of Tsitsipas. The over/below on the match complete is ready at 22.5 video games. This match is slated for Saturday, Could 20 at 10:00 am EST.

Odds as of Could 19 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Make sure you declare this FanDuel promo code to make your Medvedev vs Tsitsipas picks on the Italian Open.

Medvedev Making Private Historical past

When he arrived within the Italian capital for this event, Medvedev was nonetheless questioning what it will really feel wish to win an Italian Open match.

In his quarterfinal match in opposition to German qualifier Yannick Hanfmann, #3 seed Medvedev was a straightforward 6-2, 6-2 straight-set winner. It took him only one hour and 20 minutes to dispatch Hanfmann.

Medvedev sat again on the baseline to soak up the highly effective hitting sport of his German opponent. Within the first set, he gained 80% of his first service factors (16 of 20). The Russian participant hit 14 winners.

Medvedev held an 8-0 edge in aces, profitable six of 10 break factors throughout the match. He held a 74-32% benefit in first serve profitable proportion.

It was his ATP Tour-leading 18th victory this season in a Masters 1000 occasion and Medvedev’s thirty seventh total victory of the season.

Tsitsipas Dispatches Coric

In profitable his quarterfinal over veteran Borna Coric, #5 seed Tsitsipas required only one hour and 36 minutes to publish a 6-3, 6-4 victory. It was the Greek participant’s fourth successive straight-set win in Rome.

Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Match Historical past

Yr Match Floor Rating Winner
2022 ATP Finals (RR) Indoor Onerous 6-3, 6-7(11), 7-6(1) Tsitsipas
2022 Cincinnati (SF) Outside Onerous 7-6(6), 3-6, 6-3 Tsitsipas
2022 Australian Open (SF) Outside Onerous 7-6(5), 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 Medvedev
2021 French Open (QF) Outside Clay 6-3, 7-6(3), 7-5 Tsitsipas
2021 Australian Open (SF) Outside Onerous 6-4, 6-2, 7-5 Medvedev
2019 ATP Finals (RR) Outside Onerous 7-6(5), 6-4 Tsitsipas
2019 Shanghai (SF) Outside Onerous 7-6(5), 7-5 Medvedev
2019 Monte Carlo (R16) Outside Clay 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 Medvedev
2018 Basel (QF) Indoor Onerous 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 Medvedev
2018 US Open (R64) Outside Onerous 6-4, 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 Medvedev
2018 Miami (R128) Outside Onerous 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 Medvedev

Issues haven’t all the time gone so swimmingly when Coric is on the opposite facet of the online from Tsitsipas. This victory left their all-time collection deadlocked at 3-3.

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Tsitsipas saved three of 4 break factors throughout this match. His profitable proportion was 74% on first service and 100% on second service.

Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Head-to-Head

27 (Feb. 11, 1996) Age 24 (Aug. 12, 1998)
Moscow, Russia Birthplace Athens, Greece
6-6 Top 6-4
19 Profession ATP Singles Titles 9
1 (Feb. 28, 2022) Profession-Finest Rating 3 (Aug. 9, 2021)
3 Present Rating 5
$30,125,406 Profession Earnings $25,620,441
33-5 2023 Received/Loss File 23-7
7 ATP Important Draw Head-to-Head Wins 4

Tsitsipas is now 13-3 on clay surfaces in 2023.

Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Prediction

Total, Medvedev owns a 7-4 edge over Tsitsipas in prior head-to-head conferences. Nonetheless, the Greek has crushed the Russian in three of their final 4 matches and 4 of the previous six. That features a straight-set 6-3, 7-6(3), 7-5 triumph by Tsitsipas within the semifinals at Roland Garros in 2022.

On clay, Tsitsipas definitely has extra instruments in his toolbox than Medvedev. Whereas he’s pursuing his fifth ATP title of the season, Medvedev is enjoying in simply his second-ever ATP Masters 1000 clay-court semifinal. His earlier look was at Monte Carlo in 2019.

Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Picks:

  • Tsitsipas to win (-146)
  • Tsitsipas 2-1 (+290)

Robert Duff

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