Dortmund's Marco Reus, center, celebrates

Dortmund’s Marco Reus, heart, celebrates after he scored his facet’s decisive second aim through the German Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart in Dortmund, Germany, Saturday, Nov. 20, 2021. (AP Photograph/Martin Meissner)

  • Chelsea hosts Borussia Dortmund within the second leg of their Champions League Spherical of 16 tie on Tuesday, March seventh at 3:00 pm ET
  • The guests enter this match with a 1-0 benefit due to an excellent, particular person aim from Karim Adeyemi within the first leg
  • Get our Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and odds beneath

The Champions League is again this week with Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund highlighting the Tuesday slate. After all, we’re within the second legs of the Spherical of 16, which means some groups will probably be going dwelling. Chelsea, who’ve the sixth-best odds to raise the cup at +2000, are a type of groups in danger. Borussia Dortmund snuck out of the primary leg with a 1-0 victory, regardless of going through 21 pictures and a 2.1 anticipated aim tally from Graham Potter’s facet. Is Dortmund an excellent wager to win once more on this week’s Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

Nonetheless, Edin Terzić and firm have loved some nice type as of late, profitable their final ten consecutive video games. It might be naïve to assume that Borussia Dortmund couldn’t maintain this end result out, even at Stamford Bridge. After they have gained the primary leg of a Champions League tie, they’ve superior on 5 of six (83.3%) events. Whereas they don’t essentially have an important document in opposition to English sides, they appear to be a way more cohesive unit than they’ve been in recent times which ought to show useful.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

Matchup Moneyline Odds
Chelsea -110
Borussia Dortmund +310
Draw +270

General, Chelsea are nonetheless the house favorites right here with moneyline odds of -110, or an implied win chance of 52.4%. That is fairly wealthy for a facet with solely three victories from their final sixteen matches and are longshots within the Champions League odds. Moreover, the Blues have misplaced their final three Champions League ties (excluding finals) once they have misplaced the primary leg. Given the shape Borussia Dortmund is on, have a look at their +0.5 unfold which additionally has odds of -110. A win or common time draw would see this play via and it may be probably the most sensible end result wager. In case you are feeling extra assured in BVB, their draw no wager sits at +200.

Champions League odds as of  March sixth from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Over/Beneath

Moreover, this recreation may fall both manner when it comes to the aim complete. The over on 2.5 complete objectives sits at -120, whereas the reverse choice sits at -105. Chelsea have hit the below in 90% of their final ten matches, averaging 1.5 objectives per contest. Their offense specifically has been abysmal, averaging 0.4 objectives scored over the identical span. Dortmund do wish to open the sport up a bit extra, hitting the over on the identical complete in 60% of their final ten matches. Once more, you will need to bear in mind this can be a win-or-go-home second leg, which suggests the sport may go off the rails within the later phases. In flip, I might in all probability keep away from a play on the overall.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Props – Each Groups Received’t Rating

One other play I like is the “no” choice on each groups to attain, with odds of +110. This hit in our final day trip within the Roma vs Juventus match, and I’m going to journey it once more on this high-stakes affair. The Blues are undoubtedly in a position to maintain a clear sheet in their very own proper, which suggests this wager may hit both manner.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Projected Lineups and Accidents

Chelsea Projected Lineup: Arrizabalaga, Chilwell, Chalobah, Koulibaly, Fofana, James, Fernandez, Kovacic, Mudryk, Felix, Havertz

Main Accidents & Absences: Mendy, Azpilizueta, Silva, Broja, Mount, Aubameyang, Badiashile, Pulisic (questionable), Kante (questionable)

Borussia Dortmund Projected Lineup: Meyer, Guerreiro, Schlotterbeck, Sule, Wolf, Reus, Ozcan, Can, Bellingham, Brandt, Haller

Main Accidents & Absences: Ryerson, Moukoko, Morey, Kamara, Malen, Duranville, Kobel (questionable)

ACC Event 2023 Predictions, Odds, Schedule & Methods to Watch

Chelsea Do Not Have the Attackers to Pull Off a Miracle

Once more, it simply doesn’t appear apparent that Chelsea have the offensive gamers to tug off a comeback right here after dropping in leg 1. Actually, they should rating twice to finish this in common time, a feat they’ve solely completed as soon as of their final 16. While you have a look at particular person gamers like Raheem Sterling, Joao Felix, Kai Havertz and Mykhailo Mudryk, nearly all of them underperform on their xG.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Statistics

1.43 Targets per recreation 1.57
1.67 Anticipated objectives per recreation 1.39
0.71 Targets allowed per recreation 0.71
0.81 Anticipated objectives allowed per recreation 1.34
63.1% Possession % 45.5%
28.6% Clear Sheet % 42.9%
16.4 Photographs per recreation 12.0
W-L-L-L-D Latest Type Information (All Comps) W-W-W-W-W

Stats within the desk from 2022/23 Champions League play.

Then again, Dortmund’s prime aim scorer this 12 months is Jude Bellingham, a midfielder that has outperformed his xG by over 4 objectives. You add Sebastian Haller into that mix-up prime, with Adeyemi off the bench and you’ve got a workforce that may decide their spots with confidence. Proper now, Chelsea is a workforce enjoying with concern and fear.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Once more, I’m using with Dortmund +0.5 and the “no” on each groups to attain in my Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund prediction. Whereas I don’t like a end result play on the board, I do anticipate Dortmund to advance via to the quarters.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Picks: Borussia Dortmund +0.5 (-110), “No” on BTTS (+110)

Josh Ricker

Sports activities Author