Carlos Alcaraz celebrates after match point

Mar 30, 2023; Miami, Florida, US; Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) celebrates after match level in opposition to Taylor Fritz (USA) (not pictured) in a males’s singles quarterfinal on day eleven of the Miami Open at Exhausting Rock Stadium. Necessary Credit score: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports activities

  • Can anybody cease Carlos Alcaraz? Karen Khachanov will strive on Wednesday in Madrid
  • The No. 2 seed from Spain is 2-0 in opposition to the Russian, 5-0 in units received
  • The winner makes the Madrid Open semifinals; we break down the Alcaraz vs Khachanov odds under

Karen Khachanov will try to do what most of his ATP Tour colleagues have had bother doing: beating a wholesome Carlos Alcaraz. The 26-year-old will play Alcaraz Wednesday (10 am EDT) on the Madrid Open, with a semifinal berth at stake. The Spaniard is closely favored within the Alcaraz vs Khachanov odds however is he the most effective wager in your Madrid Open picks?

Alcaraz vs Khachanov Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole
[1] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) -4.5 (-158) -950 O 20.5 (-110)
[10] Karen Khachanov (RUS) +4.5 (+118) +630 U 20.5 (-120)

At -950 odds, No. 1 seed Alcaraz is the prohibitive favourite within the Alcaraz vs Khachanov quarterfinal on the Madrid Open Wednesday. Khachanov is the underdog at +630 odds. Alcaraz vs Khachanov odds as of Might 2 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Alcaraz Dominant vs Zverev

A 12 months in the past, Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev was the Madrid last. It went 6-3, 6-1 for Alcaraz.

Since then, Zverev suffered a severe ankle damage on the French Open. And practically a 12 months later, he’s nonetheless removed from 100%.

However he had seemed good in Madrid, regardless of coming in with a 10-11 document. He had a few good wins in Monte Carlo, and outlasted a recreation Roberto Carballes Baena earlier within the week and received the third set 6-0.

Then he ran right into a juggernaut. It took an hour and 22 minutes, however Alcaraz ran throughout him, 6-1, 6-2 to advance to the assembly with Khachanov.

Zverev has a greater first serve than Khachanov. Theoretically, he most likely returns higher. However Alcaraz by no means confronted a break level; he received 88 p.c of his first-serve factors (21-for-24), and 71 p.c of his second serve factors.

Khachanov Outdoes Doubles Associate Rublev

Andrey Rublev received his final match in opposition to Khachanov. It was simply a few weeks in the past, within the third spherical of Monte Carlo on Rublev’s method to the title.

However Tuesday in Madrid, Khachanov turned the tables, with the same rating – 7-6 (8), 6-4. The 2 mates and doubles companions had been tied 3-3, going all the best way again to their first assembly in 2014 at a small Futures occasion in Kazakhstan.

Alcaraz vs Khachanov Head-to-Head

19 (Might 5, 2003) Age 26 (Might 21, 1996)
El Palmar, Spain Birthplace Moscow, Russia
6-0 Top 6-6
9 Profession ATP Singles Titles 4
No. 1 (Sept. 12, 2022) Profession-Finest Rating No. 8 (July 15, 2019)
No. 2 Present Rating No. 12
$14,267,635 Profession Prize Cash $13,488,115
26-2 2022 Gained/Loss Document 19-8
2 Head-to-Head Wins 0

Alcaraz vs Khachanov Historical past

There’s a seven-year age hole, with Khachanov the elder. However though Alcaraz has been across the circuit just a few instances, they first met lower than a 12 months in the past, within the spherical of 16 on the French Open.

Alcaraz vs Khachanov Match Historical past

12 months Match Floor Rating Winner
2022 Hamburg (QF) Outside Clay 6-0, 6-2 Alcaraz
2022 French Open (R16) Outside Clay 6-1, 6-4, 6-4 Alcaraz

That one went the Spaniard’s method. And so did a rematch a few months later in Hamburg.

That one, truly, was even simpler. It took an hour and 9 minutes; Alcaraz was much more profitable together with his second serve (8-for-11, 73 per cent) than on his first serve (71 per cent).

Khachanov managed only one break level; Alcaraz went 5-for-11 on break-point probabilities.

The numbers had been practically pretty much as good at their French Open conferences, which was best-of-five however solely went three units. A bit over two hours, with Alcaraz profitable on 5-of-12 break-point probabilities.

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Alcaraz vs Khachanov Prediction

There’s actually not rather a lot there for Khachanov to hold his hat on, in assessing his possibilities of pulling off a fairly huge upset.

Particularly as Alcaraz has the house crowd. And he hasn’t dropped a set since shedding the primary one among his event to Emil Ruusuvuori.

The way in which to get to him is – maybe – to easily overpower him. However you need to get the fabric to work with.

Nothing Alcaraz has proven the previous couple of weeks tells you he’s wherever near flinching.

In truth, he’s solely gathering a head of steam. And that’s fairly dire information for Khachanov.

One of the best prop wager within the Alcaraz vs Khachanov odds has Khachanov and +4.5 video games at +118 (which might work out to one thing like a 6-4, 6-4 defeat). However given their historical past, even that appears iffy.

Alcaraz vs Khachanov Prediction: Beneath 19.5 Video games (+116)

Use this FanDuel promo code to wager on the Madrid Open this week.

Stephanie Myles

Sports activities Author