Feb 12, 2023; Scottsdale, AZ, USA; Si Woo Kim reacts after enjoying his third shot from the bunker on the second gap throughout the closing spherical of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. Obligatory Credit score: Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports activities
- Odds to make and miss the lower are stay for the Arnold Palmer Invitational which begins on Thursday
- SI Woo Kim has missed the lower at this occasion in three of his previous 5 appearances
- See beneath for the entire checklist of Arnold Palmer Invitational make and miss the lower odds
The Florida swing on the PGA Tour continues this week with one other daunting process at Bay Hill CC. Nonetheless, not like final week’s problem at PGA Nationwide, this week’s subject on the Arnold Palmer Invitational is completely loaded. That’s as a result of we’ve got one other elevated occasion on our fingers, with a $20 million prize pool.
The big purse has lured practically all the sport’s high stars to Arnie’s place, most of whom are in high quality type. Betting in opposition to them to make the weekend generally is a very worthwhile endeavour should you select appropriately, nevertheless there’s one participant from the following tier of golfers I’m honing in on to trunk slam this week.
Arnold Palmer Invitational Make the Reduce Odds
| Golfer | Odds to Make the Reduce | Odds to Miss the Reduce |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | -5000 | +900 |
| Rory McIlroy | -2000 | +700 |
| Scottie Scheffler | -1400 | +600 |
| Max Homa | -900 | +450 |
| Xander Schauffele | -700 | +400 |
| Viktor Hovland | -600 | +350 |
| Patrick Cantlay | -600 | +350 |
| Jason Day | -600 | +350 |
| Collin Morikawa | -600 | +350 |
| Tony Finau | -550 | +330 |
| Sungjae Im | -550 | +330 |
| Justin Thomas | -550 | +330 |
| Will Zalatoris | -500 | +300 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | -500 | +300 |
| Cameron Younger | -500 | +300 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | -425 | +275 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | -380 | +250 |
| Tom Kim | -380 | +250 |
| Sam Burns | -380 | +250 |
| Keith Mitchell | -380 | +250 |
| Keegan Bradley | -340 | +225 |
| Jordan Spieth | -340 | +225 |
| Seamus Energy | -310 | +210 |
| Sahith Theegala | -310 | +210 |
| Corey Conners | -310 | +210 |
| Shane Lowry | -295 | +210 |
| Rickie Fowler | -295 | +200 |
| Chris Kirk | -295 | +200 |
| Tom Hoge | -250 | +200 |
| Taylor Montgomery | -250 | +175 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | -250 | +175 |
| Min Woo Lee | -225 | +160 |
| Lucas Hebert | -225 | +160 |
| Justin Rose | -225 | +160 |
| Adam Scott | -225 | +160 |
| Adam Hadwin | -225 | +160 |
| Si Woo Kim | -210 | +150 |
| Christian Bezuidenhout | -210 | +160 |
Earlier than we get to our goal, we’ve got to the touch on the favorites. Jon Rahm, the pre-tournament chalk, has -5000 odds to make the lower, and a +900 price ticket to overlook the lower. He’s adopted by Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler, earlier than the chances begin to drop off considerably.
In direction of the underside you’ll discover Si Woo Kim, who has not fared nicely at Bay Hill over the course of his profession.
Odds as of February 28 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Si Woo Kim Trending Down
Kim has missed the lower thrice in his final 5 appearances on the API. He additionally has a withdrawal throughout that stretch and a twenty sixth place end. He’s misplaced at the very least 4 whole strokes to the sphere in three of these begins, and should you return to 2016, he’s misplaced at the very least 3 whole strokes 4 occasions at Bay Hill.
Si Woo Kim Final 7 Begins at Bay Hill CC
| Yr | Outcome | SG TOT |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | twenty sixth | 4.2 |
| 2021 | W/D | N/A |
| 2020 | MC | -4.3 |
| 2019 | MC | -5 |
| 2018 | MC | -6.7 |
| 2017 | forty ninth | 0.2 |
| 2016 | 63rd | -3.1 |
Kim gained earlier this season on the Sony Open, however his ball placing has been trending down ever since. He’s misplaced at the very least 2.2 strokes on method in three of his previous 4 begins, and trunk slammed final trip on the Genesis. His placing has been preserving him afloat over the past month and a half, however we shouldn’t count on that to proceed at Bay Hill. Arnie’s place options Bermuda grass greens, which is statistically Kim’s worst placing floor.
He’s misplaced at the very least 4.4 strokes on the greens at Bay Hill in 4 of his previous seven appearances, with two of these outings producing -6.1 and -7.6 strokes gained placing totals.
Decide: Si Woo Kim to Miss Reduce (+150)
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Make the Reduce Parlay
We could also be down on Kim, however there’s loads of golfers we count on to make it by means of all 4 rounds. Justin Thomas is on the high of that checklist, and he headlines our make the lower parlay. Thomas hasn’t missed a lower on American soil since Might of final yr, and ranks seventh in strokes gained tee to inexperienced over the previous 50 rounds.
Will Zalatoris is our subsequent leg, after a fabulous ball placing efficiency at Riviera. Zalatoris gained 7.8 strokes ball placing at Tiger’s match en path to a fourth place end. Over the previous 50 rounds, he ranks top-six in scoring, strokes gained tee-to-green and ball placing.
Sturdy Sunday from @WillZalatoris 👏 pic.twitter.com/wInzG1xt7m
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) February 19, 2023
Subsequent, let’s goal a pair of Englishmen Matt Fitzpatrick and Tyrell Hatton. Fitzpatrick has 4 straight top-10’s at Bay Hill, whereas Hatton gained in 2020 and completed second final yr.
Hideki Matsuyama checks in as our anchor leg, as he’s merely mispriced. The 2021 Masters champ has made 10 of his final 11 cuts, and has back-to-back top-20’s at Arnie’s place.
Decide: Make the Reduce Parlay (+194)
Chris Amberley
As SBD’s resident Swiss Military Knife, Chris covers just about each sport together with NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A real grinder, he’d slightly choose off small edges within the participant props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
