Real Madrid forward Vinicius Jose Paixao kicks the ball ahead

Jul 23, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Actual Madrid ahead Vinicius Jose Paixao (20) kicks the ball forward in opposition to Barcelona throughout a sport at Allegiant Stadium. Necessary Credit score: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports activities

  • It’s Actual Madrid vs Osasuna within the ultimate of the 2022-23 Copa del Rey
  • All of it kicks off on Saturday, Might 6 in Sevilla’s Estadio La Cartuja at 4pm ET
  • Discover our prediction under, the place we take a look at the percentages and provide some picks

It’s Actual Madrid vs Osasuna within the ultimate of the Copa del Rey on Saturday, Might 6. All of it kicks off in Seville’s Estadio La Cartuja at 4:00 pm ET.

For the mighty Actual Madrid, this will likely be their fortieth ultimate, whereas for Osasuna that is simply their second-ever showpiece after being the crushed finalists in 2004-05.

We preview our Actual Madrid vs Osasuna picks, take a look at the percentages, and provide some evaluation, workforce information, and predictions under.

Actual Madrid vs Osasuna Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Win the Cup
Actual Madrid -285 -750
Osasuna +750 +310
Draw +450 N/A

The bookmakers have Actual listed as odds-on favorites at -285 to win in common time with an implied win likelihood of 74%, whereas Osasuna are on provide at an enormous +750 to win the sport with a likelihood of 12%.

The draw after 90 minutes is priced at +450 within the Actual Madrid vs Osasuna odds and is implied at 18%. Madrid is very large  -750 favourite if it goes to additional time and/or penalties.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on Might 5.

Actual Madrid vs Osasuna Over/Below and Unfold

With the tipping level set at 3.5 targets within the sport, the bookies have listed the below at -195 and the over at a much more tempting +155

Actual Madrid vs Osasuna Preview

Actual have lately been leapfrogged by metropolis rivals Atletico within the La Liga title race, though as a contest it’s been over for a while with Barcelona main the desk by 13 factors with simply 5 video games left to play.

However, whereas there will likely be no title for Actual, they are going to be determined to finish the marketing campaign with some silverware.

Los Blancos have upcoming a two-legged Champions League semifinal with Manchester Metropolis, however such is the thirst for trophies on the Santiago Bernabéu, they are going to be determined to get the Copa del Rey within the bag earlier than their focus can flip to the Metropolis sport.

Actual Have Been the Cup Kings

On Tuesday evening, Actual ceded second place in La Liga after dropping 2-0 to Actual Sociedad – not helped by dropping Dani Carvajal to a pink card within the 61st minute – and it’s this patchy kind that has seen Carlo Ancelotti’s slip out of title rivalry.

However whereas Barca has merely been too good for Actual in La Liga, Los Blancos have been imperious within the cup competitions, and it was the Catalans they beat within the semi to qualify for this ultimate.

This will likely be their fortieth Copa del Rey ultimate, 19 of which have resulted in victory, however they nonetheless lag behind Barcelona who’ve performed in 42 finals and gained the trophy a document 31 occasions.

Historical past Making Osasuna?

For Osasuna, that is solely their second Copa del Rey ultimate. Their solely different look was in 2005 once they had been crushed 2-1 by Actual Betis after additional time, However whereas they arrive into this as large underdogs, Los Rojillos will consider that, assisted by their fanatical assist, one of many greatest days within the membership’s historical past can finish in victory.

It has not been a very snug path to the ultimate for Jagoba Arrasate’s males, who’ve needed to work onerous at each flip, however wins over Fuentes, Arnedo, Gimnastic Tarragona, Actual Betis, and Sevilla set them up for a two-legged semi with Athletic Bilbao, which they gained 2-1 on combination.

Mid-Desk Beckons for Osasuna

Osasuna, based mostly in Pamplona, are in that group of La Liga groups who, with out being sturdy sufficient to problem for the title, are within the combine for the decrease European spots. However, like final season, they appear more likely to simply miss out and are at present in tenth – the place wherein they completed in 2021-22.

Problematic for Osasuna is that they go into Saturday’s sport having not crushed Actual Madrid within the final decade – their final success in opposition to them coming method again in 2011. Clearly, this can be a psychological hurdle they’ve to beat if they’re to make this a detailed ultimate.

Actual Madrid vs Osasuna Staff Lineups and Accidents

Actual Madrid Projected Lineup: Courtois, Camavinga, Valverde, Rudiger, Militao, Carvajal, Kroos, Tchouameni, Benzema, Rodrygo, Vinicius.

Accidents & absences: Mendy, Alaba (uncertain), Modric (uncertain).

Osasuna Projected Lineup: Herrera, Moncayola, Aridane, Garcia (D), Cruz, M Gomez, Torro, Oroz, Garcia (R), Ezzalzouli, Kike Garcia.

Accidents & absences: Brasanac.

Actual Madrid vs Osasuna Head-to-Head Stats

21-5-7 La Liga File 12-8-13
69 / 32 Targets For / In opposition to (La Liga) 29 / 35
11 / 4 Targets For / In opposition to (Copa del Rey) 11 / 6
4-1 (vs Barcelona) Greatest Cup Win 2022-23 3-1 (vs Arnedo)
39 Copa del Rey finals 1
WWWLWL Type Information (all comps) WLWWLL

Copa del Rey Last Prediction

The percentages counsel a simple win for Actual, who after all have infinitely extra expertise of the massive event than their opponents, however this can be a Actual Madrid workforce that has misplaced to each Girona and Actual Sociedad within the final two weeks. And with an enormous UCL semifinal in opposition to Man Metropolis arising on Tuesday, this isn’t a nasty time for Los Rojillos to be taking part in Los Blancos.

So, I’m going massive right here and predicting that, for all the explanations above, this will likely be a really special occasion for Osasuna. Whereas they might want to face up to plenty of Actual Madrid stress, if they’re efficient and ruthless on the break, they will sneak a single-goal victory in common time.

Actual Madrid vs Osasuna Picks: Osasuna to win in 90 minutes (+750) / Over 3.5 targets (+155)